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Markets staged a recovery on Friday and ultimately ended the week flat after a volatile few days of trading. The long-awaited end to the govt shutdown turned out to be a “sell the news” event, and tech stocks continued to pull back as investors rotated into more defensive sectors. Here’s everything you need to know and more.

🍌 Trump cuts food tariffs

🔻 Small Business optimism drops

💔 Dec rate cut hopes fade

👋🏼 Softbank exits Nvidia

📉 Bitcoin drops below $100K

Read on below.

📈 Markets Snapshot

Index Price MTD YTD
US Indices
S&P 500 $6,734 -1.55% +14.49%
Dow 30 $47,147 -0.87% +10.82%
Nasdaq 100 $25,008 -3.29% +19.02%
World Markets
Euro Stoxx 50 €5,697 +0.61% +16.60%
FTSE 100 £9,698 -0.19% +17.41%
Nikkei 225 ¥50,376 -3.88% +28.12%
Hang Seng Index $26,572 +2.57% +32.47%
Nifty 50 ₹25,910 +0.73% +9.58%
Others
Bitcoin (BTC) $96,000 -12.00% +2.81%
Gold (GLD) $375.96 +2.13% +53.19%
USD (DXY) $99.30 -0.54% -8.49%

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⌛ Last Week’s Recap

The Dow led the major indices as investors shifted into defensive sectors like healthcare and consumer staples. Tech, AI, and crypto names continued to retreat on valuation concerns, though healthy pullbacks are setting up opportunities in high-quality names. Gold and silver saw a brief safe-haven bid before ending flat, while, the 10-year Treasury yield held firm above 4.1%, signaling that a December rate cut is becoming far less certain.

Key Takeaways

  • US shutdown ends after 43 days: President Trump signed a bill to reopen the government following approval in both chambers, ending the longest shutdown in US history.

  • SoftBank exits Nvidia with $5.8B sale: SoftBank sold its entire Nvidia stake for $5.83B, freeing capital to accelerate Masayoshi Son’s AI investment strategy with OpenAI.

  • US Small Business optimism drops further: The NFIB index dropped -0.6 points to 98.2 in Oct, its lowest reading in 6 months, driven by weaker sales and rising input costs.

  • Trump cuts tariffs on beef, tomatoes, coffee and other food imports: The executive order will exclude these goods from reciprocal tariffs due to lack of sufficient domestic supply.

  • Fed rate cut odds in Dec drop below 50%: Swayed by commentary from a number of policymakers citing inflation concerns and lack of sufficient evidence in labor market deterioration.

  • South Korea unveils $35B AI-designed data center plans: Project Concord aims to be the first large-scale data center fully designed and operated by AI, targeting 3GW capacity by 2028.

  • UK scraps plan to raise income taxes, surprising markets: As a result, UK stocks, the GBP and government bonds sold off sharply end of week.

  • China plans rare-earth export controls: A new “validated end-user” system would allow shipments to the US but block exports to companies tied to the US military.

  • AMD raises long-term growth outlook: CEO Lisa Su now expects more than 35% annual revenue growth for 3-5 years and over 80% annual AI data-center growth, with a roadmap to a 35%+ operating margin.

  • Tesla’s China sales plunge 36% YoY: October deliveries fell to 26,006, the lowest in three years, dropping its market share to 3.2% as Xiaomi sold nearly double. Exports rose to 35,491 units.

  • Cisco reports strong earnings, boosted by AI networking strength: Networking revenue, which includes AI data-center gear, came in at $7.77B, beating forecasts. Cisco also raised its EPS guidance for next quarter.

  • Merck to buy Cidara Therapuetics for $9.2B: The move aims to secure CD388, Cidara’s flu prevention drug candidate and is expected to close in Q1 2026.

  • Berkshire Hathaway discloses $4.3B stake in Google: The new holding was revealed in its 13F filing for Q3 2025.

Notable Earnings Recap

Company Qtr
Rev
Qtr
EPS
YTD
CoreWeave (CRWV)
$1.37B
$-0.22
+93%
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
$6.46B
$0.39
-13%
Sea Limited (SE)
$5.99B
$0.59
+33%
Cisco (CSCO)
$14.88B
$1.00
+32%
Nu Holdings (NU)
$4.17B
$0.16
+53%
Disney (DIS)
$22.46B
$1.11
-5%
JD.com (JD)
$42.00B
$0.52
-15%
Applied Materials (AMAT)
$6.80B
$2.17
+39%
Quarterly number beat analyst estimates
Quarterly number missed analyst estimates

🔦 Weekly Spotlight

Five ETFs For Shaky Markets

Feeling a bit jittery about the overall market? You’re not alone. With tech valuations looking stretched and money rotating into safer areas, this week’s spotlight cover 5 defensive ETFs that can help add some resilience to your portfolio. Many of my recent stock picks have also leaned defensive, as markets looked overbought and due for a pullback.

SBIL
💵 Money Market / US Treasury Bills

Description: Invests in very short-term US Treasury bills, aiming to provide a cash-like place to park money with high safety and a competitive yield (currently ~4%), paid as monthly dividends.

Top Holdings: 0-3 month US T-Bills, Cash, Gov Securities

KIE
💼 US Insurance (Property, Casualty, Life)

Description: Owns a diversified basket of large US insurers, which tend to be cash-generative, rate-sensitive businesses that often hold up better when growth stocks wobble.

Top Holdings: Lemonade, Brighthouse Financial, Ryan Specialty Holdings

XLP
🛒 Consumer Staples/Defensive

Description: Holds companies that produce and sell necessary household items, food, and beverages. Consumers buy these products consistently, offering stable earnings through recessions.

Top Holdings: Walmart, Costco, P&G

EVX
♻️ Waste Management & Environmental Services

Description: Owns companies that manage waste, recycling, and environmental services, businesses supported by long-term contracts and steady demand, regardless of the economic cycle.

Top Holdings: Ecolab, Waste Connections, Waste Management

IHF
🏥 Healthcare Providers & Services

Description: Focuses on insurers, hospital operators, and managed-care firms that benefit from recurring healthcare spending, which is less sensitive to economic cycles.

Top Holdings: United Health, CVS, Cigna

🗓️ The Week Ahead

The spotlight next week will be on Nvidia’s quarterly results after the close on Wednesday, which will influence direction in the overall market, and sentiment around companies involved in the AI play.
Additionally, with the government shutdown now resolved, markets will finally see the return of postponed economic data, giving investors a clearer read on the health of the economy, inflation trends, and what the Fed may do next.

  • Housing Starts & Building Permits (Wed, 19 Nov): A key read on US construction activity. Rising permits typically signal stronger future housing demand and economic momentum.

  • US Trade Deficit (Wed, 19 Nov): Measures the gap between US imports and exports. Useful for assessing global demand, currency pressures, and GDP contribution.

  • US Employment Report & Unemployment Rate (Thu, 20 Nov): Delayed for over a month due to the shutdown, this release will give an overdue update on the labor market, wage trends, and recession risks.

  • Consumer Sentiment (Fri, 21 Nov): Provides insight into household confidence around inflation, employment, and spending intentions heading into year-end.

  • Nvidia Earnings (Wed, 19 Nov, AMC): The most anticipated report of the season. Focus will be on data-center revenue, AI chip demand, and 2026 guidance.

  • Walmart Earnings (Thurs, 20 Nov, BMO): A key gauge of consumer health, spending trends, and inflation’s impact on lower and middle-income households.

  • Alibaba Earnings (Fri, 21 Nov, BMO): Will provide color on Chinese consumer demand, cloud growth, and AI developments in China.

Upcoming Notable Earnings

Company Date Qtr
EPS e
YTD
Home Depot (HD) 18-Nov ☀️ $3.82 -7%
Pinduoduo (PDD) 18-Nov ☀️ $1.99 +35%
Medtronic (MDT) 18-Nov ☀️ $1.31 +20%
Target (TGT) 19-Nov ☀️ $1.77 -34%
Nvidia (NVDA) 19-Nov 🌙 $1.17 +42%
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 19-Nov 🌙 $0.50 +13%
Walmart (WMT) 20-Nov ☀️ $0.61 +13%
Intuit (INTU) 20-Nov 🌙 $1.63 +5%
Alibaba (BABA) 21-Nov ☀️ $0.49 +83%
☀️ Before market open
🌙 After market close
e = Consensus analyst estimate

🎯 This Week’s Pick

Meta

META $609.46 (-0.07%)
Market Cap P/E Fwd P/E YTD
$1.5T 26.93 20.50 +4.09%

META Weekly Chart

Profile

This week’s pick is a buy-the-dip opportunity on a Mega-Cap tech giant and cash-generating machine. Meta Platforms dominates social media with its family of apps - Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Threads, with over 3.5B daily active users. The company’s core business is its highly effective and profitable digital advertising engine.

Fundamental Overview

Meta is one of the strongest financial performers in big tech. Its Q3 2025 revenue grew 26% YoY to $51.2B, with an operating margin of 40% (albeit 3% lower than 2024), and $44B in free cash flow. However, a one-time tax charge of $15.9B led to it reporting a significant EPS miss, leading to a sell-off. Additionally, investors are concerned about its increased capex guide of $70-72B in 2025, with further increases planned in 2026, which has weighed on the stock in recent weeks. How Meta converts its significant AI investments into future revenue and earnings growth will be closely watched in 2026 and beyond.

Technical Overview

Meta is down nearly ~25% from its highs and sold-off sharply after its earnings report. It is now oversold on both its daily and weekly timeframe, and closed the week just above a key support level of $600. For both long-term holders and first-time buyers, this is a good opportunity to pick up shares, with potential adds in the $540-600 range if weakness continues. Although there’s a strong likelyhood we could see a bounce next week, patience over the medium to long term is key.

🚀 Future Play

Klaviyo

KVYO $29.61 (+0.46%)
Market Cap P/E Fwd P/E YTD
$8.64B - - -30.63%

Profile

Klaviyo is cloud B2C CRM specifically built for e-commerce and retail brands. It provides a unified platform with AI-powered marketing automation, analytics, and customer service that allows businesses to listen to their customers' behavior, process that data instantly, and deliver highly personalized experiences across channels like email, SMS, and in-app notifications.

Competitive Advantage

Klaviyo's primary strength is its specialized focus on B2C e-commerce, supported by a proprietary data architecture. Its deep, real-time integrations with platforms like Shopify and BigCommerce create high switching costs. This is being extended by a significant foray into agentic AI, which enables the platform to autonomously plan and execute entire marketing strategies, creating a moat against generalized CRM competitors like Salesforce and HubSpot.

Fundamental Overview

Klaviyo just delivered outstanding Q3 25 results, with revenue growing 32% YoY to $311M and management raising its FY 25 guidance to over $1.21B. The company is nearing sustainable profitability and is maintaining a robust 76% gross margin. Its balance sheet is strong, holding ~980M in cash, and minimal debt. However, its valuation is elevated meaning execution will need to stay excellent to support expectations.

Risks & Considerations

Klaviyo’s valuation currently prices in a significant amount of future growth. It has high concentration risk due to its deep reliance on the Shopify ecosystem. Additionally, its customer base has a large portion of small-to-midsize e-commerce brands that are highly sensitive to macroeconomic headwinds. In terms of competition, entrenched marketing-automation players like HubSpot and Salesforce sharpening their focus on the B2C segment would hurt Kalviyo’s growth prospects.

👋🏼 About The Author

Ali Husain

Ali is a full-time equity trader and investor based in Dubai, and the founder of First Mile Investing. He left his corporate career in 2024 to pursue his passion for the markets. He founded First Mile Investing to help beginners take their first confident steps into investing, with the goal of making the process less intimidating, more accessible, and empowering for everyone.

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